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Re: [Xen-users] IPV4 is nearly depleted, are you ready for IPV6?

To: Nathan Eisenberg <nathan@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: [Xen-users] IPV4 is nearly depleted, are you ready for IPV6?
From: chris <tknchris@xxxxxxxxx>
Date: Sun, 5 Dec 2010 18:13:50 -0500
Cc: "rudi@xxxxxxxxxxx" <rudi@xxxxxxxxxxx>, xen-users <xen-users@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
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My point wasn't that its not a problem, simply that it wasn't as
serious of a problem 10 years ago as it is becoming now. HE has a neat
tool that tracks it:
http://ipv6.he.net/statistics/

On Sun, Dec 5, 2010 at 6:09 PM, Nathan Eisenberg
<nathan@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>> I've been hearing this for about 10 years and during that 10 years
>> have never had a single issue getting ipv4 addresses. While I agree
>> that it will run out at some point and that ipv6 probably has
>> advantages over ipv4 I think there is just the appearance of a
>> shortage due to the allocation of large blocks of ips very early on
>> which are very under utilized. I don't think its really anything to
>> worry about especially with ipv6inipv4 working just fine.
>>
>> you see this story posted on various "tech" sites every year for a long
>> time
>
> This is a fallacy.  The fact that the depletion rate has been common 
> knowledge for quite some time doesn't mean, as you would have us believe, 
> that there is no issue.
>
> IANA depletion day is in 2 months and 5 days.  The first RIR depletion is 335 
> days out.  Provider depletions will happen very quickly afterwards.  You seem 
> to be under the impression that people have been crying wolf.  You're wrong. 
>  The wolf is at a known distance, and travels at a known (and increasing) 
> rate of speed.  Just because you can't see the wolf doesn't mean everyone has 
> been wrong this whole time.
>
> And no, there aren't 'large blocks of IPs which are very underutilized'. 
>  There are /8's that can't be broken up for practical reasons, but we're 
> burning through those in 30-40 days now, so it doesn't matter if they were 
> returned to the pool.
>
> This is a very real problem.  Please stop spreading FUD.
>
> Nathan
>
>

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